A Review of Machine Learning Techniques for Student Performance and Quality  Enhancement in Higher Education

Authors

  • Mrs Arati Patil Research Scholar, Bharati Vidyapeeth Deemed To Be University, Pune Author
  • Mrs. Poonam Siddhanurle Assistant Professor at D Y Patil Institute of MCA and Management Akurdi Pune Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.66635/tb57es04

Keywords:

Machine learning (ML), learning management systems (LMS), Master of Computer Applications(MCA)

Abstract

Higher education faces ongoing challenges in boosting student success rates and institutional quality amid vast data from learning management systems (LMS), assessments, and student interactions. Machine learning (ML) has become a cornerstone for transforming this data into predictive insights, enabling early detection of struggling students, personalized support, and strategic quality improvements. This systematic literature review synthesizes empirical studies (primarily 2015–2025) on ML for performance prediction and quality enhancement. It categorizes key methods classification, regression, clustering, and ensembles while evaluating their applications, advantages, and drawbacks, with special attention to skill-focused professional degrees like Master of Computer Applications (MCA), where coding proficiency, projects, and ongoing evaluations are pivotal. Recent trends show tree-based ensembles (e.g., Random Forest, XGBoost) achieving superior accuracy (often 85–95%) in predicting GPA and dropout risk, though interpretability issues persist. Major gaps include limited domain-specific models for professional curricula, scarce real-time systems, underutilization of explainable AI (XAI), and insufficient cross-institutional validation. Proposed future paths involve hybrid models, deep learning for multimodal data, XAI integration for transparency, and tailored analytics for programs like MCA to promote ethical, scalable, and impactful educational advancements.

References

1.Albreiki, B., Zaki, N., & Alashwal, H. (2021). A systematic literature review of student performance prediction using machine learning techniques. Education Sciences, 11(9), Article 552. https://doi.org/10.3390/educsci11090552

2. Namoun, A., & Alshanqiti, A. (2021). Predicting student performance using data mining and learning analytics techniques: A systematic literature review. Applied Sciences, 11(1), Article 237. https://doi.org/10.3390/app11010237

3. Kabathova, J., & Drlik, M. (2021). Towards predicting student’s dropout in university courses using different machine learning techniques. Applied Sciences, 11(7), Article 3130. https://doi.org/10.3390/app11073130

4. Park, H. S., & Yoo, S. J. (2021). Early dropout prediction in online learning of university using machine learning. JOIV: International Journal on Informatics Visualization, 5(4), 347–353. https://doi.org/10.30630/joiv.5.4.732

5. Niyogisubizo, J., Liao, L., Nziyumva, E., Murwanashyaka, E., & Nshimyumukiza, P. C. (2022). Predicting student’s dropout in university classes using two-layer ensemble machine learning approach: A novel stacked generalization. Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence, 3, Article 100066. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.caeai.2022.100066

6. Sekeroglu, B., Abiyev, R., Ilhan, A., Arslan, M., & Idoko, J. B. (2021). Systematic literature review on machine learning and student performance prediction: Critical gaps and possible remedies. Applied Sciences, 11(22), Article 10907. https://doi.org/10.3390/app112210907

7. Alamri, R., & Alharbi, B. (2021). Explainable student performance prediction models: A systematic review. Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence, 2, Article 100016.

8. Feng, G., Fan, M., & Chen, Y. (2022). Analysis and prediction of students’ academic performance based on educational data mining. IEEE Access, 10, 19558– 19571. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3151234

9. Martins, M. V., Tolledo, D., Machado, J., Baptista, L. M., & Realinho, V. (2023). Early prediction of student’s performance in higher education: A case study. In Á. Rocha et al. (Eds.), Trends and applications in information systems and technologies (Vol. 9, pp. 1–10). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-36957-5_1

10.Ahmed, W. (2024). Student performance prediction using machine learning algorithms. Applied Computational Intelligence and Soft Computing, 2024, Article 4067721. https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/4067721

11.Rebelo Marcolino, M., et al. (2025). Student dropout prediction through machine learning optimization: Insights from Moodle log data. Scientific Reports, 15, Article 9840. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-93918-1

12.Wang, Y. (2025). Artificial intelligence in student management systems to enhance academic performance monitoring and intervention. Scientific Reports, 15,

13.Article 35122. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-19159-4

14.Islam, M. M., Sojib, F. H., Mihad, M. F. H., Hasan, M. M., & Rahman, M. (2025). The integration of explainable AI in educational data mining for student academic performance prediction and support system. Telematics and Informatics Reports. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.teler.2025.100018

15.Turkmen, G. (2025). The review of studies on explainable artificial intelligence in educational research. Journal of Educational Computing Research. https://doi.org/10.1177/07356331241310915

16.Balcioğlu, Y. S., & Artar, M. (2025). Predicting academic performance of students with machine learning. Information Development. https://doi.org/10.1177/02666669231213023

17.Turkmenbayev, A., Abdykerimova, E., Nurgozhayev, S., Karabassova, G., & Baigozhanova, D. (2025). The application of machine learning in predicting student performance in university engineering programs: A rapid review. Frontiers in Education, 10, Article 1562586. https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2025.1562586

18.Ahmed, W., Wani, M. A., Plawiak, P., et al. (2025). Machine learning-based academic performance prediction with explainability for enhanced decision-making in educational institutions. Scientific Reports, 15, Article 26879. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-12353-4

19.Chong, K. T., Ibrahim, N., Huspi, S. H., Wan Kadir, W. H. N., & Isa, M. A. (2025). A systematic review of machine learning techniques for predicting student engagement in higher education online learning. Journal of Information Technology Education: Research, 24, Article 5. https://doi.org/10.28945/5456

20.Shi, et al. (2025). Applications of machine learning for at-risk student prediction in online education: A 10-year systematic review of literature. Journal of Computer Assisted Learning. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcal.70058

21.Rabelo, A. M., & Zárate, L. E. (2025). A model for predicting dropout of higher education students. Data Science and Management, 8(1), 72–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsm.2024.07.001

22.Lyu, H., et al. (2025). Artificial intelligence for student performance prediction in blended learning: A systematic literature review. Neurocomputing. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2025.1331

23.Yang, et al. (2025). Machine learning models for academic performance prediction: Interpretability and application in educational decision-making. Frontiers in Education. https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2025.1632315

24.Wang, J., et al. (2025). Machine learning approach to student performance prediction of online learning. PLoS ONE, 20(1), Article e0299018. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0299018

25.Alamri, L. H., et al. (2020–2025 update; recent extension). Predicting student academic performance using support vector machine and random forest. In Proceedings of the 2020 3rd International Conference on Education Technology Management

26.Realinho, V., et al. (2021–2025 dataset). Predict students' dropout and academic success [Dataset]. UCI Machine Learning Repository. https://doi.org/10.24432/C5MC89

Downloads

Published

2026-04-29

How to Cite

A Review of Machine Learning Techniques for Student Performance and Quality  Enhancement in Higher Education. (2026). Journal of Asia Entrepreneurship and Sustainability, 22(3s), 486-491. https://doi.org/10.66635/tb57es04